PHOENIX — The chief clinical officer at the state’s largest hospital network said Friday that Arizona is headed to a health crisis if residents don’t change their habits to deal with COVID-19.
Dr. Marjorie Bessel said the intensive-care units at the Maricopa County hospitals for Banner Health already are at full capacity. And other hospitals in Arizona are rapidly approaching that point.
Bessel said that’s no surprise, given the increasing number of cases of the coronavirus. That took a big jump Friday, with 1,579 new cases, bringing the tally in Arizona to 24,332.
But she parted ways with Gov. Doug Ducey and state Health Director Cara Christ who have said the increase is largely a factor of more people getting tested.
The doctor noted a sharp spike in infections following the decision in the middle of last month by the governor to scrap his stay-home order.
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“We do have community spread of COVID-19 in Arizona and we have had community spread in Arizona,” she said, with people infecting each other through close contact and not taking precautions.
That’s not all.
“We are seeing an increase in the sickest of the sick,” she said.
“These are COVID-19 patients who are in the ICU who are ventilated,” Bessel said. “And those individuals are in our hospitals for a long period of time,” she said.
In fact, Bessel provided data showing the number of Banner patients on ventilators has tripled in less than two weeks.
Some of what Banner is seeing at its facilities is reflected statewide.
The Department of Health Services reports number of people hospitalized with COVID-19 hit a record 1,234 on Friday. And that comes just a day after the figure was only 1,079.
And deaths in Arizona from COVID-19 are now at 1,012.
So how bad will it get?
“I don’t have a crystal ball,” Bessel said. “What I do know is if you continue to follow a curve like that, at some point we will exceed our capacity.”
The most immediate result of all that would be hospitals will no longer be able to perform elective surgeries. That had been the case until late April. But that was because the governor was worried not about hospital capacity but about the limited supply of masks, gowns and other personal protective equipment.
He dissolved that order May 1.
Bessel said while there’s a clear correlation between the end of the governor’s stay-home order and the sharp increase in cases, she was careful not to say Ducey made a mistake in allowing the directive to expire.
“Whenever you’re in a pandemic — and COVID-19 is exemplifying that for all of us — there is going to be a constant need for balance between economic strife and health-care strife,” she said.
“They are not mutually exclusive,” Bessel said. “It’s important for people to work so they can put food on the table.”
The doctor also said there was “fatigue” by people having to comply with rules about where they can and cannot go.
Protesters laid in the road for 8 minutes and 46 seconds in symbolic protest of the death of George Floyd.
“They wish it would go away,” she said.
“It hasn’t gone away,” Bessel continued. “It isn’t going to go away any time soon.”
But she said if the state is easing restrictions on travel and gatherings, “we need to take those other behaviors and need to make sure we’re doing them exquisitely.” She said that’s especially true when, as now, there are indications of an upswing in infections.
One of those, Bessel said, is increased use of masks when people go out or are within 6 feet of each other.
Bessel said she follows her own advice. She came into Friday’s press conference wearing a mask, taking it off only when she was seated at a table at least 6 feet from reporters.
Yet neither Ducey nor state Christ have been wearing masks, not only when speaking to the media but even when they drive to and walk into events together.
Ducey has brushed aside repeated questions about his lack of the use of masks, saying he has one if he needs it. And aides to both did not immediately respond Friday to questions about the habits of their bosses.
Bessel said those images are crucial to protecting public health.
“It’s important for us as leaders to lead by example,” she said.
The doctor said that each day the state can get through the pandemic without exceeding hospital capacity is a day closer to having a vaccine or, more likely, at least having some type of effective treatment.
But she said those who think that Arizona’s hot weather is going to make a difference are mistaken.
“We’re not seeing that,” she said, not only here where the thermometer regularly tops the century mark but in other parts of the world like Brazil, which had outbreaks through their summer.
She said heat — and ultraviolet light — can kill viruses on surface.
“But this is a droplet transmitted disease,” Bessel said. “The way you get it is when you’re within 6 feet of somebody and when you’re not wearing a mask.”
Photos: Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Brigitte Rensel from Epicurean Food, hands out samples of cheeses and fruits at the remodeled Rincon Market at 2513 E. Sixth St. during a grand reopening in 2014.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Shopper Rebecca Cramer browses the aisles of the newly re-opened Rincon Market, 2513 E. Sixth St. in Tucson, after a fire shuttered the business in 2013.
Restaurant and market
Flora’s Market Run will include a restaurant where diners can get breakfast and lunch on the go and full-service dinner.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Seafood Manager Yuri Rabayev, right, gives a warm greeting to long-time local customer Eugene Adams at the newly re-opened Rincon Market at 2513 E. Sixth St. during the reopening of the store in 2014 after a devastating fire. Adams grew up down the street from the store where he has shopped since he was a kid. Adams raved about the seafood saying it's the best in town because of Rabayev's extensive knowledge, contacts and enthusiasm.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Rincon Market owner Kelly Abbott, right, greets customers and visitors in the entrance to the newly re-opened store on June 30, 2014. A fire on July 2, 2013 had forced closure of the business.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Howard Milwich, retail store manager at Rincon Market, 2513 E 6th Street, unloads Diestel Turkeys that will be sold to customers for Thanksgiving in 2016.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
The flower boxes in front of the Rincon Market in 1998.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Rincon Market owner Paul Cisek in 2000.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Bill Codd reads at Rincon Market during one of his twice-weekly visits in 1997.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Flames shoot through the roof of Rincon Market as Tucson firefighters cut ventilation holes on July 2, 2013 during a two-alarm fire.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Tucson firefighters climb to the roof area after controlling a fire at the Rincon Market fire on July 2, 2013.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
An Abracadabra work beginning clean up at Rincon Market after a fire in June, 2013. The drop ceiling about the deli counter was the origin of the fire.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Initial damage and restoration in progress at Rincon Market after a fire in June, 2013.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Drop ceiling above deli counter was the point of origin for the fire at Rincon Market in June, 2013.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Initial damage and restoration in progress at Rincon Market after a fire in June, 2013.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Initial damage and restoration in progress at Rincon Market after a fire in June, 2013.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Initial damage and restoration in progress at Rincon Market after a fire in June, 2013.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Initial damage and restoration in progress at Rincon Market after a fire in June, 2013.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Initial damage and restoration in progress at Rincon Market after a fire in June, 2013.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Mike Jenkins of Tanque Verde Electric works on the track lighting above a service counter while contractors work to bring Rincon Market, 2513 E. Sixth Street, back up to speed after a July 2013 fire heavily damaged the building. e-opening.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Technician Chris Hall with Desert Star Mechanical trims an evaporative coil section while repairing the refrigeration units as part of preparations for reopening Rincon Market in 2014.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Chris Maloney picks out some grapes from the fruit section of Rincon Market in 1997.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
A long "pan" exposure of the iconic neon sign for the Rincon Market, 2515 E. 6th.
Historic Rincon Market in Tucson
Cook Tucker Hartford sells a Young's Farm free range turkey to Michael Block at Rincon Markets meat department in 2004.
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